Economics89 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
0ยข
0% implied
NO Price
100ยข
100% implied
Volume
$154.1K
6,030 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 371 traders ยท 2 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS ยท $6.64M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026โ
0ยข+17ยข$154.1K14/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026โ+17ยข0ยข
$154.1K14/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0ยข+20ยข$151.9K17/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+20ยข0ยข
$151.9K17/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0ยข+11ยข$154.1K8/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+11ยข0ยข
$154.1K8/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+10ยข$94.2K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10ยข0ยข
$94.2K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0ยข+26ยข$180.3K27/78Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+26ยข0ยข
$180.3K27/78
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0ยข+14ยข$70.4K11/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14ยข0ยข
$70.4K11/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0ยข+18ยข$500.7K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18ยข0ยข
$500.7K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0ยข+15ยข$86.7K12/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+15ยข0ยข
$86.7K12/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2ยข+14ยข$207.6K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14ยข2ยข
$207.6K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1ยข+34ยข$539.1K59/112Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+34ยข1ยข
$539.1K59/112
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
23ยข+12ยข$1.38M56/105Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+12ยข23ยข
$1.38M56/105
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026
51ยขโ35ยข$444.9K17/90Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026โ35ยข51ยข
$444.9K17/90
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Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs68 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 44% YES by dollars ยท 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side ยท 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$3 of $172 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $75ยทNO $95YES Team
Total Invested
$90
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$67(-73.9%)
Whales
14
P
PolyJaguar๐ฅ
Entry 3ยขยท2,583.8 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $73 ยท WR 57.5%
T
Tysha๐ฅ
Entry 4ยขยท25.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 89.3%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever๐ฅhedged
Entry 7ยขยท10 sharesยทalso $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 59.5%
J
JoEhedged
Entry 7ยขยท9 sharesยทalso $2 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 76.3%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 6ยขยท4.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 ยท WR 84.6%
E
0xe6bd5847...
Entry 7ยขยท1.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 ยท WR 89.1%
N
nrnn
Entry 0ยขยท10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 ยท WR 88.1%
Q
quiddy
Entry 0ยขยท23.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 ยท WR 76.3%
Showing top 8 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.8K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.1K(+58.3%)
Whales
68
I
influenz.eth๐ฅ
Entry 58ยขยท2,381 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$995
+$995INV $1.4K ยท WR 85.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly๐ฅ
Entry 98ยขยท1,157.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $1.1K ยท WR 57.8%
B
balthazar๐ฅ
Entry 86ยขยท1,023.4 shares
Invested
$882
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$137
+$137INV $882 ยท WR 72.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 70ยขยท521.7 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$156
+$156INV $364 ยท WR 79.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99ยขยท327 shares
Invested
$325
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $325 ยท WR 89.3%
R
rated
Entry 99ยขยท319.3 shares
Invested
$317
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $317 ยท WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 99ยขยท310 shares
Invested
$308
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $308 ยท WR 88.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100ยขยท299 shares
Invested
$298
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $298 ยท WR 87.6%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 94ยขยท293 shares
Invested
$275
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $275 ยท WR 86.7%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 49ยขยท554.4 shares
Invested
$272
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$280
+$280INV $272 ยท WR 88.9%
Showing top 10 of 68
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