Economics57 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
74¢
74% implied
NO Price
26¢
26% implied
Volume
$585.3K
4,964 trades
Smart Whales
119
of 730 traders · 2 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
15 MARKETS · $7.14M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+24¢$156.5K19/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+24¢0¢
$156.5K19/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+16¢$152.6K13/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+16¢0¢
$152.6K13/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$157.8K15/57Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$157.8K15/57
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+19¢$274.2K13/57Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026+19¢0¢
$274.2K13/57
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$101.6K14/54Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$101.6K14/54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+32¢$189.4K34/73Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+32¢0¢
$189.4K34/73
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+12¢$75.2K10/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+12¢0¢
$75.2K10/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+27¢$504.8K22/60Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+27¢0¢
$504.8K22/60
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+23¢$90.6K19/62Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+23¢0¢
$90.6K19/62
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
1¢+18¢$209.9K16/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+18¢1¢
$209.9K16/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+34¢$541.5K56/105Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+34¢1¢
$541.5K56/105
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
21¢+15¢$1.38M59/104Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+15¢21¢
$1.38M59/104
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026←
74¢−46¢$585.3K34/87Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026←−46¢74¢
$585.3K34/87
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Smart Money Consensus
31 YESvs90 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 45% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 19 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 76%
+6 new YES$215+10 new NO$69
0 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$458 of $13.4K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $5.8K·NO $7.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$36.5K
Avg Win Rate
87.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$12.7K(+34.7%)
Whales
31
A
Ahpo🥇hedged
Entry 62¢·47,453.1 shares·also $26.7K on NO
Invested
$29.4K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$5642
+$5642INV $29.4K · WR 92.0%
D
DancewithRisk🥈
Entry 41¢·5,134.4 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$1736
+$1736INV $2.1K · WR 65.5%
S
Sardonic-Cue◆Proven🥉
Entry 38¢·4,005.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$1452
+$1452INV $1.5K · WR 79.0%
P
puravida
Entry 58¢·1,203.9 shares
Invested
$699
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$198
+$198INV $699 · WR 59.5%
A
akimbogod
Entry 58¢·1,187.3 shares
Invested
$690
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $690 · WR 66.2%
T
themagicofcinema◆Proven
Entry 62¢·563.7 shares
Invested
$352
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $352 · WR 72.9%
R
ratehikes
Entry 11¢·2,753 shares
Invested
$311
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1741
+$1741INV $311 · WR 57.7%
X
xxNyx◆Proven
Entry 55¢·560.2 shares
Invested
$308
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $308 · WR 82.9%
P
podairpod
Entry 14¢·1,740.2 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$1048
+$1048INV $236 · WR 59.2%
T
tinman2hedged
Entry 73¢·300 shares·also $6.6K on NO
Invested
$219
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $219 · WR 66.2%
Showing top 10 of 31
NO Team
Total Invested
$41.1K
Avg Win Rate
86.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$21.0K(-51.0%)
Whales
90
A
Ahpo🥇hedged
Entry 62¢·43,102.5 shares·also $29.4K on YES
Invested
$26.7K
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
$-15441
$-15441INV $26.7K · WR 92.0%
T
tinman2🥈hedged
Entry 62¢·10,706.7 shares·also $219 on YES
Invested
$6.6K
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-3886
$-3886INV $6.6K · WR 66.2%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 49¢·2,318.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-520
$-520INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 90¢·1,004.4 shares
Invested
$903
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-640
$-640INV $903 · WR 72.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 82¢·611.6 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-339
$-339INV $500 · WR 87.7%
L
Lolakis
Entry 39¢·934 shares
Invested
$362
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-118
$-118INV $362 · WR 61.6%
I
i18z
Entry 98¢·369.9 shares
Invested
$362
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-265
$-265INV $362 · WR 87.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 87¢·401.9 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-245
$-245INV $350 · WR 88.2%
B
Bobothebear
Entry 87¢·258.8 shares
Invested
$226
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-160
$-160INV $226 · WR 87.8%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 56¢·366.7 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $205 · WR 86.2%
Showing top 10 of 90
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