Economics79 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$441.4K
3,021 trades
Smart Whales
101
of 625 traders · 3 on both sides
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.62M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+23¢$153.7K18/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+23¢0¢
$153.7K18/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+26¢$151.4K22/62Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+26¢0¢
$151.4K22/62
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$153.8K15/57Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$153.8K15/57
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+22¢$93.2K15/54Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+22¢0¢
$93.2K15/54
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+31¢$180.0K33/73Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+31¢0¢
$180.0K33/73
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+19¢$70.1K15/66Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+19¢0¢
$70.1K15/66
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+23¢$500.2K19/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+23¢0¢
$500.2K19/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+23¢$85.4K18/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+23¢0¢
$85.4K18/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+17¢$206.2K16/68Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+17¢2¢
$206.2K16/68
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
3¢+33¢$538.5K62/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢3¢
$538.5K62/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
9¢+29¢$1.37M60/98Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+29¢9¢
$1.37M60/98
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026←
57¢−37¢$441.4K21/84Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026←−37¢57¢
$441.4K21/84
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Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs84 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 27 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 76%
+5 new YES$84+4 new NO$27
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$32 of $5.0K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $4.0K·NO $1.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+78.2%)
Whales
20
D
DancewithRisk🥇
Entry 36¢·3,896 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$666
+$666INV $1.4K · WR 69.1%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 45¢·1,952 shares
Invested
$873
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $873 · WR 60.3%
A
akimbogod🥉
Entry 58¢·1,187.3 shares
Invested
$690
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $690 · WR 67.2%
R
ratehikes
Entry 11¢·4,548.8 shares
Invested
$514
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1899
+$1899INV $514 · WR 68.8%
T
tinman2hedged
Entry 43¢·1,000 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$432
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $432 · WR 66.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 16¢·160.5 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $25 · WR 68.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 46¢·30.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 68.2%
O
OkaneKasegu
Entry 3¢·381 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$192
+$192INV $10 · WR 58.5%
C
Careful-Bunchhedged
Entry 47¢·14.7 shares·also $69 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 55.3%
G
Grotesque-Clergyman
Entry 53¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$322(+5.5%)
Whales
84
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 49¢·2,318.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-138
$-138INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 88¢·551.6 shares
Invested
$487
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-251
$-251INV $487 · WR 87.5%
I
i18z🥉
Entry 98¢·369.9 shares
Invested
$362
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-204
$-204INV $362 · WR 87.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 92¢·361.9 shares
Invested
$334
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-179
$-179INV $334 · WR 88.1%
B
Bobothebear
Entry 87¢·258.8 shares
Invested
$226
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $226 · WR 87.3%
N
nashyy43
Entry 98¢·224.7 shares
Invested
$221
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $221 · WR 87.3%
B
Bikesarethebest
Entry 64¢·310.9 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $200 · WR 56.0%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 8¢·2,343.3 shares
Invested
$187
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$813
+$813INV $187 · WR 85.8%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 45¢·396.2 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $180 · WR 86.7%
H
highstakebet
Entry 74¢·230.5 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $171 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 84
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