ratehikes · Polymarket wallet 0xa309…4cf2

Wallet snapshot

ratehikes has made 3,117 trades on Polymarket across 64 markets, $2.1M in volume. Most of it is in economics (52%) and sports (44%). On 50 resolved markets the win rate is 54%, lifetime P&L +$79K. It holds 7 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $173K · 40¢ → 71¢
• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $46K · 67¢ → 97¢
• Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes · $2,434 · 24¢ → 70¢
• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes · $1,941 · 11¢ → 71¢
• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes · $1,229 · 18¢ → 26¢
• Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No · $1,210 · 56¢ → 98¢
• Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No · $2 · 67¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · -$32K · Oct 29, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · -$32K · Oct 29, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · -$29K · Oct 29, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No · -$62 · Oct 29, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$25K · Oct 28, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.