Economics80 days left
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
YES Price
67¢
67% implied
NO Price
33¢
33% implied
Volume
$446.2K
3,221 trades
Smart Whales
108
of 653 traders
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
14 MARKETS · $6.65M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$154.5K14/64Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$154.5K14/64
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+17¢$152.1K14/69Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026+17¢0¢
$152.1K14/69
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+21¢$154.5K15/58Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026+21¢0¢
$154.5K15/58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+10¢$94.4K7/61Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026+10¢0¢
$94.4K7/61
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026
0¢+25¢$181.2K26/79Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026+25¢0¢
$181.2K26/79
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$70.6K11/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$70.6K11/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026
0¢+18¢$500.9K15/70Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026+18¢0¢
$500.9K15/70
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026
0¢+14¢$87.4K12/71Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026+14¢0¢
$87.4K12/71
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026
2¢+14¢$207.9K14/72Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026+14¢2¢
$207.9K14/72
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026
1¢+33¢$539.6K58/113Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026+33¢1¢
$539.6K58/113
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026
18¢+17¢$1.38M58/108Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026+17¢18¢
$1.38M58/108
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026←
67¢−50¢$446.2K18/88Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026←−50¢67¢
$446.2K18/88
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Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs83 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$96+7 new NO$23
$26 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.4K is directional: YES $3.7K·NO $723YES Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+65.1%)
Whales
25
D
DancewithRisk🥇
Entry 36¢·3,979 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$1177
+$1177INV $1.4K · WR 66.1%
P
podairpod🥈
Entry 43¢·1,825.1 shares
Invested
$794
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$437
+$437INV $794 · WR 60.0%
A
akimbogod🥉
Entry 57¢·1,187.3 shares
Invested
$679
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $679 · WR 67.7%
T
tinman2
Entry 43¢·936.5 shares
Invested
$405
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$212
+$212INV $405 · WR 65.9%
P
puravida
Entry 54¢·587.2 shares
Invested
$319
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $319 · WR 59.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 19¢·90 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $17 · WR 68.2%
B
big-bird1
Entry 46¢·30.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $14 · WR 68.4%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 53¢·22.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 60.9%
O
OkaneKasegu
Entry 3¢·381 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$241
+$241INV $10 · WR 58.6%
G
Grotesque-Clergyman
Entry 53¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.3K
Avg Win Rate
82.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$776(-12.3%)
Whales
83
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 49¢·2,318.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-373
$-373INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 88¢·551.6 shares
Invested
$487
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-307
$-307INV $487 · WR 87.7%
I
i18z🥉
Entry 98¢·369.9 shares
Invested
$362
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-241
$-241INV $362 · WR 87.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 92¢·361.9 shares
Invested
$334
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-216
$-216INV $334 · WR 88.2%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 67¢·353.1 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $237 · WR 56.3%
B
Bobothebear
Entry 87¢·258.8 shares
Invested
$226
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-138
$-138INV $226 · WR 87.8%
N
nashyy43
Entry 98¢·224.7 shares
Invested
$221
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-148
$-148INV $221 · WR 87.5%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 8¢·2,343.3 shares
Invested
$187
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$576
+$576INV $187 · WR 84.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 70¢·246.9 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $172 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 74¢·231 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-96
$-96INV $171 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 83
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