CDAP1 · Polymarket wallet 0xe033…40a5

+$78,047 lifetime P&L · 38.1% win rate · 42 resolved markets · 0xe033e9d4a0e8b30c417f3f7abcb029bc695940a5

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Wallet snapshot

CDAP1 has made 12,983 trades on Polymarket across 72 markets, $2.2M in volume. Most of it is in economics (90%) and politics (7%). On 42 resolved markets the win rate is 38.1%, lifetime P&L +$78K. It holds 23 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?". Last trade: Nov 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes · $193K · 45¢ → 60¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $94K · 10¢ → 10¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?Yes · $24K · 52¢ → 59¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?Yes · $2,364 · 20¢ → 26¢
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Yes · $2,076 · 17¢ → 56¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes · $1,988 · 69¢ → 41¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $1,750 · 82¢ → 88¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No · $1,383 · 49¢ → 99¢
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes · $1,113 · 73¢ → 91¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes · $1,007 · 75¢ → 87¢

Latest closed positions

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · +$48 · Nov 13, 2026
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes · -$1,342 · Nov 12, 2026
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · -$708 · Nov 12, 2026
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · -$128 · Nov 12, 2026
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$19 · Nov 12, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes · -$8,956 · Nov 12, 2026

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