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Economics54 days left

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$510.1K
4,590 trades
Smart Whales
98
of 330 traders

Fed Decision in December?

9 MARKETS · $20.08M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

21 YESvs77 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$532+35 new NO$19.6K
$308 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales21 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $9.1K is directional: YES $1.0K·NO $8.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$632(-45.1%)
Whales
21
R
RememberAmalekProven🥇
Entry 20¢·2,167 shares
$-372INV $433 · WR 64.4%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 20¢·1,756.6 shares
$-301INV $351 · WR 87.7%
E
Elastic-Universe🥉
Entry 3¢·2,337.5 shares
+$0INV $66 · WR 70.0%
Z
ZD-ELO-M3
Entry 1¢·2,673.7 shares
+$39INV $37 · WR 96.6%
A
Avamax
Entry 1¢·2,000 shares
+$29INV $28 · WR 80.2%
T
Tee1000
Entry 11¢·240.6 shares
$-20INV $27 · WR 81.8%
R
ratad-ji
Entry 2¢·1,000 shares
+$7INV $21 · WR 59.2%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 13¢·160.6 shares
$-16INV $21 · WR 84.8%
M
melonmanmProven
Entry 2¢·1,000 shares
+$10INV $18 · WR 70.2%
7
0x71e11e0f...
Entry 3¢·355 shares
$-1INV $11 · WR 55.4%
Showing top 10 of 21

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 21% YES: the Fed increase interest rates by 50+…