Economics175 days left
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting?
YES Price
2ยข
2% implied
NO Price
98ยข
98% implied
Volume
$1.6K
51 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 40 traders
Fed Decision in April?
11 MARKETS ยท $5.57M MATCHEDSmart Money
by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting
78ยขโ25ยข$3.17M135/121by 25 bps after the December 2026 meetingโ25ยข78ยข
$3.17M135/121
by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting
1ยข+19ยข$1.86M27/106by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting+19ยข1ยข
$1.86M27/106
by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting
25ยข0ยข$355.3K21/64by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting0ยข25ยข
$355.3K21/64
by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting
1ยข+22ยข$120.8K13/44by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting+22ยข1ยข
$120.8K13/44
by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting
48ยขโ26ยข$31.0K4/14by 25 bps after the March 2027 meetingโ26ยข48ยข
$31.0K4/14
by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meeting
2ยขโ2ยข$5.2K0/15by 50+ bps after the March 2027 meetingโ2ยข2ยข
$5.2K0/15
by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting
4ยข+3ยข$2.9K1/13by 50+ bps after the April 2027 meeting+3ยข4ยข
$2.9K1/13
by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting
11ยขโ3ยข$3.0K1/11by 25 bps after the April 2027 meetingโ3ยข11ยข
$3.0K1/11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting
55ยขโ30ยข$11.7K4/12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meetingโ30ยข55ยข
$11.7K4/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs12 NO
92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars ยท 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+2 new YES$2+4 new NO$114
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $6 is directional: YES $6ยทNO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-2.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$460
Avg Win Rate
82.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$378(+82.2%)
Whales
12
L
Lucerys๐ฅ
Entry 78ยขยท196.4 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $153 ยท WR 88.0%
M
melchior1248๐ฅ
Entry 95ยขยท100 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $95 ยท WR 69.8%
Q
qwen300.fund๐ฅ
Entry 98ยขยท32.7 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $32 ยท WR 86.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 96ยขยท32.8 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 ยท WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99ยขยท30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $30 ยท WR 87.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 98ยขยท30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $29 ยท WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 98ยขยท30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $29 ยท WR 88.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 99ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 ยท WR 72.1%
A
anothercoin
Entry 94ยขยท17.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 ยท WR 86.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 95ยขยท12 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 ยท WR 79.7%
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