TheReturnOfDarthMaul · Polymarket wallet 0x3a8a…7699

Wallet snapshot

TheReturnOfDarthMaul has made 25,046 trades on Polymarket across 1,207 markets, $18M in volume. Most of it is in sports (59%) and geopolitics (13%). On 755 resolved markets the win rate is 62.8%, lifetime P&L +$1.6M. It holds 64 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 1, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes · $625K · 81¢ → 97¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No · $171K · 90¢ → 95¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes · $127K · 76¢ → 71¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes · $92K · 70¢ → 82¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No · $77K · 82¢ → 80¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $71K · 92¢ → 95¢
• Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes · $57K · 85¢ → 54¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $57K · 92¢ → 95¢
• Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes · $56K · 81¢ → 71¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes · $50K · 80¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No · +$24 · Nov 1, 2026
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes · -$1,050 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes · -$7,353 · Oct 28, 2026
• Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No · +$927 · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · -$158K · Oct 28, 2026
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No · -$16K · Oct 28, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

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