Politics23 days left
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$7.34M
25,820 trades
Smart Whales
643
of 4,661 traders · 4 on both sides
Which party will win the House in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $16.53M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
222 YESvs425 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 91 YES vs 233 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$10.8K+16 new NO$88.4K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$291 of $1.56M is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $216 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $13.1K·NO $1.55MYES Team
Total Invested
$104.6K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$25.5K(-24.4%)
Whales
222
A
Astera🥇
Entry 85¢·24,482.9 shares
Invested
$20.9K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-18593
$-18593INV $20.9K · WR 73.2%
1
11122🥈hedged
Entry 18¢·28,886.1 shares·also $52.8K on NO
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-2513
$-2513INV $5.3K · WR 60.6%
K
Kickstand7◆Proven🥉
Entry 21¢·15,855.8 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-1879
$-1879INV $3.4K · WR 63.2%
D
debased◆Proven
Entry 11¢·18,511.6 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-188
$-188INV $1.9K · WR 65.9%
M
Metamah
Entry 11¢·9,100 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $1.0K · WR 75.9%
4
0x4e25605f...hedged
Entry 18¢·5,565 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$994
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-466
$-466INV $994 · WR 69.4%
B
bosshog◆Proven
Entry 18¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$900
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-425
$-425INV $900 · WR 70.9%
N
Newshound
Entry 23¢·2,198.1 shares
Invested
$497
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-288
$-288INV $497 · WR 57.1%
L
Lexington◆Proven
Entry 8¢·5,600.5 shares
Invested
$464
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $464 · WR 67.4%
S
sweetj
Entry 11¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$456
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $456 · WR 75.0%
Showing top 10 of 222
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.02M
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$89.6K(+4.4%)
Whales
425
W
Warlike-Horn🥇
Entry 91¢·338,146.1 shares
Invested
$307.0K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-985
$-985INV $307.0K · WR 85.7%
F
Flipadelphia🥈
Entry 90¢·200,000 shares
Invested
$180.0K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$1000
+$1000INV $180.0K · WR 56.8%
T
Tigerofthehood🥉
Entry 90¢·130,898 shares
Invested
$117.2K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$1217
+$1217INV $117.2K · WR 87.3%
N
ndb1
Entry 91¢·106,685.9 shares
Invested
$97.1K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-567
$-567INV $97.1K · WR 73.5%
V
Valen9
Entry 88¢·100,999.9 shares
Invested
$88.8K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$2595
+$2595INV $88.8K · WR 61.5%
H
hideo
Entry 86¢·97,166.5 shares
Invested
$83.6K
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$4289
+$4289INV $83.6K · WR 75.4%
W
Wickier◆Proven
Entry 90¢·83,643.7 shares
Invested
$75.3K
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$418
+$418INV $75.3K · WR 60.7%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 84¢·87,559.5 shares
Invested
$73.4K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$5870
+$5870INV $73.4K · WR 56.0%
M
MRF◆Proven
Entry 83¢·85,668.2 shares
Invested
$71.2K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$6341
+$6341INV $71.2K · WR 67.1%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 56¢·103,153.8 shares
Invested
$57.7K
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$35643
+$35643INV $57.7K · WR 81.6%
Showing top 10 of 425
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