GeopoliticsResolved

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$714.7K
6,939 trades
Smart Whales
245
of 1,192 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

134 YESvs112 NO
55%46%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 73 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$661+25 new NO$19.4K
$654 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $158.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.9K·NO $156.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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