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Geopolitics160 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$6.5K
87 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 61 traders · 3 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

2 MARKETS · $15.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 6 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$935+35 new NO$3.1K
$973 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $1.5K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $242 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $0·NO $1.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$122
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+4.9%)
Whales
3
C
Car🥇hedged
Entry 24¢·478.2 shares·also $290 on NO
+$6INV $116 · WR 65.0%
M
mad4x🥈hedged
Entry 25¢·21 shares·also $5 on NO
+$0INV $5 · WR 57.3%
7
77bCcPrd2uGw🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·1.4 shares·also $1 on NO
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 20% YES: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March…