Geopolitics435 days left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?

YES Price
54¢
54% implied
NO Price
46¢
46% implied
Volume
$21.3K
186 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 92 traders · 3 on both sides

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

2 MARKETS · $40.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 7 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 52%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$7.4K+60 new NO$7.0K
$5.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 21 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $6.0K is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. $223 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $3.9K·NO $1.8K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 31% YES: Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December…