Polymarket wallet 0xafa7…6e67

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0xafa7…6e67 has made 1,832 trades on Polymarket across 188 markets, $23K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (92%) and politics (6%). On 138 resolved markets the win rate is 62.3%, lifetime P&L +$686. It holds 37 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $457 · 80¢ → 88¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $349 · 57¢ → 84¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No · $265 · 95¢ → 98¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No · $206 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes · $201 · 89¢ → 96¢
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No · $196 · 50¢ → 78¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · $160 · 82¢ → 97¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $143 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No · $133 · 69¢ → 85¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $106 · 79¢ → 84¢

Latest closed positions

• US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No · -$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$4 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?No · +$8 · Oct 3, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No · +$5 · Oct 2, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No · +$26 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.