Geopolitics80 days left
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$154.4K
2,678 trades
Smart Whales
87
of 331 traders · 1 on both sides
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
3 MARKETS · $379.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
43 YESvs45 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 28 YES vs 25 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$1.9K+11 new NO$479
$262 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $25.8K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $12.5K·NO $13.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$15.3K
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.4K(-22.1%)
Whales
43
2
20260601🥇
Entry 57¢·7,259.3 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-1107
$-1107INV $4.1K · WR 64.4%
E
Extroverted-Development🥈
Entry 43¢·4,929.4 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $2.1K · WR 59.7%
T
Trading4Fridge🥉
Entry 50¢·2,613.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-225
$-225INV $1.3K · WR 57.4%
M
Michael-The-Taxiarchhedged
Entry 33¢·3,074.5 shares·also $2.1K on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$299
+$299INV $1.0K · WR 67.4%
G
gambler925
Entry 71¢·1,281.7 shares
Invested
$904
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-373
$-373INV $904 · WR 56.1%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 101¢·810.2 shares
Invested
$815
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-471
$-471INV $815 · WR 60.4%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 75¢·835 shares
Invested
$627
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-281
$-281INV $627 · WR 68.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 66¢·700 shares
Invested
$463
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-173
$-173INV $463 · WR 57.7%
1
101456
Entry 66¢·590 shares
Invested
$389
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $389 · WR 55.9%
E
Eia
Entry 58¢·650 shares
Invested
$375
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $375 · WR 61.7%
Showing top 10 of 43
NO Team
Total Invested
$20.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.8K(+19.0%)
Whales
45
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥇
Entry 52¢·11,819.5 shares
Invested
$6.1K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$792
+$792INV $6.1K · WR 75.9%
M
MisTKy🥈
Entry 66¢·4,636.5 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-383
$-383INV $3.0K · WR 71.3%
M
Michael-The-Taxiarch🥉hedged
Entry 67¢·3,074.5 shares·also $1.0K on YES
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-287
$-287INV $2.1K · WR 67.4%
M
MEPP
Entry 27¢·5,293.9 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$1688
+$1688INV $1.4K · WR 64.2%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 55¢·1,887.2 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $1.0K · WR 74.2%
K
KrackenSruster
Entry 34¢·2,963 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
+$723
+$723INV $1.0K · WR 66.0%
A
adasol
Entry 56¢·1,686.6 shares
Invested
$950
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $950 · WR 66.9%
N
nmnr
Entry 55¢·1,474.2 shares
Invested
$808
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $808 · WR 81.8%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 38¢·1,336.5 shares
Invested
$508
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$274
+$274INV $508 · WR 65.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 43¢·980.2 shares
Invested
$417
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$157
+$157INV $417 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 45
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