johnashbough · Polymarket wallet 0xef13…63d9

Wallet snapshot

johnashbough has made 8,313 trades on Polymarket across 992 markets, $93K in volume. Most of it is in politics (30%) and economics (16%). On 771 resolved markets the win rate is 55.1%, lifetime P&L +$3,064. It holds 88 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?". Last trade: Oct 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?No · $196 · 88¢ → 97¢
• Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No · $190 · 87¢ → 95¢
• Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No · $175 · 80¢ → 88¢
• Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?No · $168 · 79¢ → 83¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?No · $156 · 81¢ → 86¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?No · $150 · 81¢ → 89¢
• Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?No · $139 · 61¢ → 70¢
• Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Yes · $129 · 61¢ → 64¢
• Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?No · $128 · 65¢ → 65¢
• Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October?Yes · $126 · 73¢ → 65¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?No · +$6 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?No · +$5 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Trump say "Hormuz" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?No · +$5 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Trump say "Save America Act" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Yes · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Yes · +$0 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Alaska not air?No · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026

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