Politics4 days left
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$8.4K
484 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 117 traders
LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?
12 MARKETS · $37.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs15 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$27+7 new NO$76
$26 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $18 is directional: YES $18·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$131
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$72(-55.2%)
Whales
5
M
musicenthusiast🥇hedged
Entry 76¢·144 shares·also $50 on NO
Invested
$109
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $109 · WR 57.8%
L
lightsout912🥈
Entry 17¢·90 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 66.5%
G
garbagecollect4🥉
Entry 58¢·6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 68.7%
N
neverhackme
Entry 7¢·36.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $3 · WR 75.3%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 16¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$420
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$111(+26.4%)
Whales
15
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 76¢·170 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $129 · WR 71.9%
M
musicenthusiast🥈hedged
Entry 35¢·144 shares·also $109 on YES
Invested
$50
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $50 · WR 57.8%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 67¢·54 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $36 · WR 86.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 76¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $30 · WR 88.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 81¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 78¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $23 · WR 85.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 53¢·40 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $21 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 69¢·30 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $21 · WR 79.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 80¢·25 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 79.5%
P
pollo07
Entry 79¢·22.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $18 · WR 85.2%
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