HibernatingBear · Polymarket wallet 0xb5e8…a5f9

+$16,880 lifetime P&L · 55.4% win rate · 607 resolved markets · 0xb5e83a636f2d77c0c25e2d2abaca753ea204a5f9

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Wallet snapshot

HibernatingBear has made 8,758 trades on Polymarket across 978 markets, $300K in volume. Most of it is in politics (47%) and sports (24%). On 607 resolved markets the win rate is 55.4%, lifetime P&L +$17K. It holds 168 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?". Last trade: Oct 26, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?No · $1,835 · 34¢ → 62¢
Will Andile Lungisa be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?No · $1,167 · 70¢ → 96¢
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?No · $1,164 · 45¢ → 62¢
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election?Yes · $1,066 · 75¢ → 84¢
Will Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?No · $821 · 85¢ → 95¢
Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?No · $818 · 81¢ → 88¢
Will Karin Prien be the next President of Germany?No · $798 · 78¢ → 93¢
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?No · $732 · 86¢ → 89¢
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Yes · $732 · 76¢ → 73¢
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?No · $664 · 78¢ → 84¢

Latest closed positions

Will Scott Hamilton win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?Yes · +$2 · Oct 27, 2026
Will Jan Liggett win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?No · +$9 · Oct 27, 2026
Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes · -$18 · Oct 27, 2026
Will Moe Comuzzi win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?Yes · +$124 · Oct 27, 2026
Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election?No · +$231 · Oct 27, 2026
Will Vaughn Goettler win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes · +$54 · Oct 27, 2026
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election?

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