Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$94.9K
1,466 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 285 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $896.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
22 YESvs45 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 33% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.5K is directional: YES $1.8K·NO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-99.7%)
Whales
22
W
WordleAddict◆Proven🥇
Entry 22¢·1,716.1 shares
Invested
$382
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-382
$-382INV $382 · WR 68.6%
F
FakePolls◆Proven🥈
Entry 21¢·1,388.6 shares
Invested
$290
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-289
$-289INV $290 · WR 61.4%
L
Lets-play🥉
Entry 17¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-254
$-254INV $255 · WR 88.9%
X
x26◆Proven
Entry 8¢·2,299.8 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-178
$-178INV $179 · WR 77.8%
P
Petty-Homework
Entry 21¢·626.1 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-133
$-133INV $133 · WR 60.3%
P
Pastel-Jellybeans
Entry 19¢·640.5 shares
Invested
$124
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $124 · WR 66.7%
F
fendop
Entry 13¢·800 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $107 · WR 80.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 8¢·1,049 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $84 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 8¢·966.4 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $81 · WR 86.1%
D
Dunedain
Entry 14¢·500 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-72
$-72INV $72 · WR 62.7%
Showing top 10 of 22
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.3K
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+21.0%)
Whales
45
Z
ZamamiTurtle🥇
Entry 98¢·1,754.7 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
95.6%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $1.7K · WR 95.6%
G
Gdub🥈
Entry 85¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$183
+$183INV $1.0K · WR 69.9%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 67¢·1,507.9 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$503
+$503INV $1.0K · WR 85.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 99¢·929.4 shares
Invested
$918
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $918 · WR 79.1%
E
EffectiveAltruist
Entry 89¢·639 shares
Invested
$569
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $569 · WR 57.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 93¢·537.9 shares
Invested
$503
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $503 · WR 71.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 96¢·501.9 shares
Invested
$481
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $481 · WR 86.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 78¢·596 shares
Invested
$465
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $465 · WR 89.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 87¢·470 shares
Invested
$408
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $408 · WR 88.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 93¢·305 shares
Invested
$285
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $285 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 45
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