Politics18 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$924
62 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 31 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%
+3 new YES$7+1 new NO$10
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $23 is directional: YES $12·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
80.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-53.2%)
Whales
5
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 2¢·199 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 75.0%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 7¢·44 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 85.8%
L
LesterDiamond🥉
Entry 8¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 88.0%
N
neverhackme
Entry 8¢·22 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 75.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 2¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$246
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$327(+133.2%)
Whales
9
K
kaxel78🥇
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $70 · WR 86.6%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 50¢·97 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $48 · WR 87.7%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat🥉
Entry 50¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $44 · WR 59.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $40 · WR 86.0%
C
coypu
Entry 91¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 74.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 89.3%
L
lpgb
Entry 2¢·105 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $2 · WR 77.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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