Politics18 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$2.5K
148 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 63 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%
+4 new YES$3+2 new NO$39
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4 is directional: YES $4·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
81.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-43.1%)
Whales
4
N
neverhackme🥇
Entry 8¢·22 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 75.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 8¢·18.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 87.7%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 7¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.8%
L
lpgb
Entry 8¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 77.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$257
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$154(+59.9%)
Whales
8
K
kaxel78🥇
Entry 59¢·140 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $82 · WR 86.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 87¢·80 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $70 · WR 88.7%
H
Hasty-Worker🥉
Entry 50¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $44 · WR 59.9%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 50¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $25 · WR 88.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 86.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·12.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 79.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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