Politics18 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$911
68 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 31 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs7 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%
+2 new YES$12+3 new NO$36
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $10·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-46.0%)
Whales
5
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 3¢·194 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 75.0%
L
LesterDiamond🥈
Entry 8¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 88.0%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 7¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 3¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 79.6%
N
neverhackme
Entry 8¢·7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 75.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$226
Avg Win Rate
81.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$305(+135.0%)
Whales
7
K
kaxel78🥇
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $70 · WR 86.6%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 50¢·97 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $48 · WR 87.7%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique🥉
Entry 50¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $44 · WR 59.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $40 · WR 88.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 96¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 85.8%
L
lpgb
Entry 4¢·105 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $4 · WR 77.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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