Politics18 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$7.2K
156 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 55 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%
+3 new YES$99+5 new NO$340
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $22·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$22
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-19.6%)
Whales
5
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 8¢·159 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $13 · WR 75.0%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 7¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 13¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 79.6%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 8¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 88.0%
N
neverhackme
Entry 8¢·22 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 75.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
89.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$294(+16.2%)
Whales
11
S
SAPolitcsSeer🥇
Entry 92¢·1,553.8 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $1.4K · WR 92.1%
L
lpgb🥈
Entry 50¢·210 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$91
+$91INV $105 · WR 77.3%
K
kaxel78🥉
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $70 · WR 86.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·97 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $48 · WR 87.7%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 50¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $44 · WR 59.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 95¢·42.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $40 · WR 68.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $40 · WR 89.3%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 94¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 88.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·12.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $6 · WR 79.6%
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