Politics18 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$2.3K
73 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 34 traders
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%
+3 new YES$7+3 new NO$52
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $577 is directional: YES $11·NO $566YES Team
Total Invested
$11
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-47.7%)
Whales
4
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 4¢·159 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 75.0%
L
LesterDiamond🥈
Entry 8¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 88.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 7¢·20 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 7¢·13.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 85.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$780
Avg Win Rate
88.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$292(+37.4%)
Whales
10
S
SAPolitcsSeer🥇
Entry 96¢·576.7 shares
Invested
$552
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $552 · WR 92.1%
K
kaxel78🥈
Entry 50¢·140 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $70 · WR 86.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·97 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $48 · WR 87.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·88.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $44 · WR 59.8%
N
neverhackme
Entry 96¢·22 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 · WR 75.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 96¢·15.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 68.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 86.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·12.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 79.6%
L
lpgb
Entry 3¢·105 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $3 · WR 77.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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