Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

1¢

1% implied

NO Price

99¢

99% implied

Volume

$8.1K

233 trades

Smart Whales

13

of 101 traders

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $65.0K MATCHED

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs9 NO

31%69%

69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%

+2 new YES$4+1 new NO$293

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $247 is directional: YES $79·NO $168

YES Team

Total Invested

$79

Avg Win Rate

55.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$53(-66.9%)

Whales

4

Contestable-Parfait🥇

Entry 13¢·444 shares

$-54INV $57 · WR 55.6%

Entry 10¢·196.2 shares

+$2INV $20 · WR 56.3%

Entry 19¢·10.6 shares

$-1INV $2 · WR 58.0%

balthazarhedged

Entry 12¢·0.7 shares·also $20 on NO

$-0INV $0 · WR 71.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$827

Avg Win Rate

75.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$100(+12.1%)

Whales

9

Entry 99¢·296.6 shares

+$1INV $293 · WR 75.0%

johnashbough🥈

Entry 81¢·207.8 shares

+$17INV $168 · WR 55.2%

Entry 81¢·138.2 shares

+$25INV $113 · WR 87.6%

Entry 78¢·105 shares

+$22INV $82 · WR 86.4%

Entry 84¢·72.1 shares

+$11INV $61 · WR 79.2%

Entry 80¢·75 shares

+$14INV $60 · WR 83.0%

Entry 80¢·30 shares

+$6INV $24 · WR 86.0%

balthazarhedged

Entry 100¢·20 shares·also $0 on YES

$-0INV $20 · WR 71.9%

Entry 61¢·11.1 shares

+$4INV $7 · WR 87.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 21% YES: the Democratic Party candidate win…