Politics1 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$6.8K
164 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 75 traders
Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $54.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$182+8 new NO$540
$113 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $38 is directional: YES $25·NO $13YES Team
Total Invested
$40
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$20(-49.9%)
Whales
4
E
e2021dc🥇hedged
Entry 29¢·50 shares·also $36 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $15 · WR 87.1%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 8¢·147.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $12 · WR 72.1%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 6¢·198.3 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 74.4%
K
kroko
Entry 3¢·31 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$364
Avg Win Rate
86.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$64(+17.6%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 74¢·138.2 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $103 · WR 88.0%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 84¢·105 shares
Invested
$88
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $88 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 99¢·75 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $74 · WR 87.7%
E
e2021dchedged
Entry 72¢·50 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$36
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $36 · WR 87.1%
C
C.PM
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $30 · WR 85.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 54¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $11 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.2%
C
coypu
Entry 80¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 74.9%
P
phcrux1
Entry 87¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 57.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 15¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 88.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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