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Geopolitics53 days left

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
61¢
61% implied
Volume
$654.1K
3,970 trades
Smart Whales
85
of 562 traders · 2 on both sides

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

2 MARKETS · $937.7K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

42 YESvs45 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 36% YES by dollars · 37 YES vs 36 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$4.2K+21 new NO$5.8K
$705 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $48.9K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $17.5K·NO $31.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$18.4K
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-12.0%)
Whales
42
E
0xecb1d3b9...🥇
Entry 45¢·4,795 shares
$-283INV $2.2K · WR 57.1%
P
PaddyAlpha🥈
Entry 43¢·4,631.8 shares
$-150INV $2.0K · WR 67.4%
F
ferraracesare🥉
Entry 64¢·2,941 shares
$-713INV $1.9K · WR 61.7%
N
NewshoundProven
Entry 41¢·4,494.9 shares
$-63INV $1.8K · WR 57.1%
R
Roflan-ludoman
Entry 41¢·3,923.9 shares
$-65INV $1.6K · WR 60.6%
S
StupidMonkeyyy
Entry 43¢·3,098.8 shares
$-121INV $1.3K · WR 59.4%
E
Extroverted-Development
Entry 42¢·3,082.8 shares
$-67INV $1.3K · WR 59.4%
I
iHaveBeenPwned
Entry 37¢·2,017.6 shares
+$50INV $747 · WR 87.5%
9
98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVFhedged
Entry 37¢·1,861.3 shares·also $8 on NO
+$51INV $684 · WR 61.3%
T
Te0n2
Entry 48¢·1,215.2 shares
$-103INV $583 · WR 67.1%
Showing top 10 of 42

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 48% YES: Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting…