nmnr · Polymarket wallet 0xcb86…feda

Wallet snapshot

nmnr has made 601 trades on Polymarket across 40 markets, $13K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (59%) and politics (24%). On 11 resolved markets the win rate is 81.8%, lifetime P&L +$542. It holds 30 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?". Last trade: Oct 11, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $1,280 · 60¢ → 79¢
• Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes · $907 · 76¢ → 80¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · $873 · 82¢ → 86¢
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · $848 · 55¢ → 57¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No · $642 · 81¢ → 85¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · $447 · 86¢ → 87¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $371 · 85¢ → 96¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No · $370 · 74¢ → 71¢
• Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes · $274 · 59¢ → 49¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $259 · 82¢ → 86¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes · +$15 · Oct 8, 2026
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?No · +$8 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?No · +$0 · Oct 1, 2026
• Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No · +$1 · Oct 1, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes · +$6 · Sep 30, 2026
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.