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Geopolitics19 days left

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$99.9K
1,010 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 270 traders · 1 on both sides

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

5 MARKETS · $269.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

27 YESvs37 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 31 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$661+22 new NO$3.4K
$169 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
13 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$28 of $27.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5.0K·NO $22.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$661(-12.9%)
Whales
27
M
MEPP🥇
Entry 15¢·8,000 shares
$-155INV $1.2K · WR 64.2%
V
Valen9🥈
Entry 16¢·7,000 shares
$-190INV $1.1K · WR 61.5%
B
betwickProven🥉
Entry 16¢·6,507.4 shares
$-197INV $1.0K · WR 59.8%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 15¢·2,557.9 shares
$-64INV $393 · WR 60.5%
P
paddaa
Entry 17¢·2,158 shares
$-88INV $365 · WR 61.1%
C
Car
Entry 13¢·2,222 shares
$-8INV $293 · WR 64.9%
C
classifiedProven
Entry 10¢·2,450.5 shares
+$67INV $248 · WR 82.7%
N
noib
Entry 13¢·623.6 shares
$-3INV $83 · WR 57.7%
E
ED99999
Entry 12¢·536.4 shares
+$2INV $67 · WR 73.6%
S
Septen
Entry 15¢·333.3 shares
$-7INV $50 · WR 59.4%
Showing top 10 of 27

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 42% YES: US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31