Luminous-Insectarium · Polymarket wallet 0x34dc…d280

Wallet snapshot

Luminous-Insectarium has made 1,053 trades on Polymarket across 241 markets, $48K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (62%) and politics (10%). On 149 resolved markets the win rate is 64.4%, lifetime P&L +$946. It holds 40 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · $1,056 · 89¢ → 94¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $1,054 · 90¢ → 94¢
• Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No · $934 · 75¢ → 78¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No · $230 · 84¢ → 95¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?No · $150 · 93¢ → 92¢
• US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Yes · $90 · 87¢ → 86¢
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes · $73 · 56¢ → 82¢
• Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes · $54 · 12¢ → 13¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $50 · 81¢ → 81¢
• Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No · $40 · 33¢ → 26¢

Latest closed positions

• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No · +$4 · Oct 25, 2026
• Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 24, 2026
• Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No · +$4 · Oct 24, 2026
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 23, 2026
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No · -$8 · Oct 23, 2026
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?No · +$5 · Oct 22, 2026
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

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