Geopolitics49 days left

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$64.8K
1,826 trades
Smart Whales
81
of 289 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

35 YESvs47 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 31 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 63%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$508+7 new NO$338
$175 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $9.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.5K·NO $4.6K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 44% YES: Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November…