crayven · Polymarket wallet 0x2aac…dfad

Wallet snapshot

crayven has made 4,253 trades on Polymarket across 1,017 markets, $292K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (37%) and politics (26%). On 879 resolved markets the win rate is 54.6%, lifetime P&L +$15K. It holds 109 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No · $7,475 · 91¢ → 93¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No · $1,677 · 68¢ → 76¢
• Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes · $1,496 · 77¢ → 89¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026?No · $1,104 · 86¢ → 87¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $334 · 76¢ → 84¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No · $250 · 78¢ → 86¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No · $223 · 39¢ → 42¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No · $140 · 35¢ → 34¢
• Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes · $139 · 86¢ → 86¢
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Yes · $134 · 86¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Yes · +$5 · Nov 13, 2026
• Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?Yes · +$12 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$31 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?Yes · +$33 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No · +$2 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No · +$5 · Nov 12, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.