446 days left
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
YES Price
83¢
83% implied
NO Price
17¢
17% implied
Volume
$257.4K
3,120 trades
Smart Whales
113
of 577 traders · 1 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
7 MARKETS · $509.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
51 YESvs63 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$2.3K+2 new NO$452
$40 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
3 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $26.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $24.0K·NO $2.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$30.2K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.5K(+38.0%)
Whales
51
N
nelbal8486🥇
Entry 65¢·7,079.2 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$719
+$719INV $4.6K · WR 63.6%
M
Meek-Drummer🥈
Entry 69¢·6,286.7 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$413
+$413INV $4.3K · WR 73.9%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven🥉
Entry 83¢·5,101.8 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-403
$-403INV $4.3K · WR 66.6%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 50¢·7,453.8 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$1888
+$1888INV $3.7K · WR 56.0%
A
Ahpo
Entry 29¢·7,272.9 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$3870
+$3870INV $2.1K · WR 92.2%
J
JT716
Entry 84¢·2,500 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-202
$-202INV $2.1K · WR 65.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 59¢·2,473.1 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$420
+$420INV $1.4K · WR 72.2%
O
Optimus-◆Proven
Entry 69¢·1,471 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $1.0K · WR 62.0%
J
JanusApprenticehedged
Entry 25¢·2,864 shares·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$703
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$1660
+$1660INV $703 · WR 61.0%
M
melonmanm◆Proven
Entry 74¢·919.5 shares
Invested
$680
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $680 · WR 69.6%
Showing top 10 of 51
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.8K(-43.2%)
Whales
63
T
TruongMyLan🥇hedged
Entry 145¢·2,764 shares·also $545 on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-3535
$-3535INV $4.0K · WR 59.2%
A
AllByMyseIf🥈
Entry 18¢·13,527.1 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$926
+$926INV $2.4K · WR 70.8%
J
JanusApprentice🥉hedged
Entry 83¢·2,864 shares·also $703 on YES
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-1881
$-1881INV $2.4K · WR 61.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·1,608.9 shares
Invested
$810
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-528
$-528INV $810 · WR 69.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 61¢·867 shares
Invested
$525
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-373
$-373INV $525 · WR 85.9%
A
Anon321321
Entry 48¢·737 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-222
$-222INV $351 · WR 86.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 40¢·683 shares
Invested
$275
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-156
$-156INV $275 · WR 86.0%
C
chthollyseniorious
Entry 86¢·133.6 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $115 · WR 70.9%
U
undertaker07
Entry 18¢·604.5 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $110 · WR 59.1%
L
LesterDiamondhedged
Entry 20¢·25 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 63
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