80 days left
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$191.8K
3,071 trades
Smart Whales
108
of 409 traders · 3 on both sides
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
2 MARKETS · $286.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
56 YESvs55 NO
51%50%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 29 YES vs 26 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$640+18 new NO$2.7K
$764 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$695 of $40.0K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $15.7K·NO $23.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$20.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$11.6K(-56.2%)
Whales
56
R
Rumpelstiltskin🥇
Entry 53¢·9,467.1 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-3098
$-3098INV $5.0K · WR 57.1%
S
seal7◆Proven🥈
Entry 68¢·4,661.7 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-2245
$-2245INV $3.2K · WR 60.3%
O
Optimus-◆Proven🥉
Entry 55¢·4,893.3 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-1752
$-1752INV $2.7K · WR 62.0%
T
theta-thunberghedged
Entry 69¢·2,954 shares·also $3.3K on NO
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-1451
$-1451INV $2.0K · WR 56.4%
J
JabJabich
Entry 81¢·1,847.9 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-1134
$-1134INV $1.5K · WR 62.9%
T
Trading4Fridge
Entry 58¢·1,378.3 shares
Invested
$799
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-531
$-531INV $799 · WR 57.4%
M
Milksheen
Entry 26¢·1,577.2 shares
Invested
$407
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $407 · WR 57.5%
P
PaddyAlphahedged
Entry 30¢·1,237.5 shares·also $269 on NO
Invested
$373
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-131
$-131INV $373 · WR 68.2%
D
delphilo
Entry 38¢·943 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-171
$-171INV $360 · WR 56.0%
C
chicanery.
Entry 47¢·600 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-162
$-162INV $282 · WR 58.8%
Showing top 10 of 56
NO Team
Total Invested
$32.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.3K(+28.3%)
Whales
55
M
M2sx92kljs42🥇
Entry 68¢·10,794.2 shares
Invested
$7.4K
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
+$1261
+$1261INV $7.4K · WR 71.2%
L
LJa7io23MCv954j🥈
Entry 68¢·5,670.8 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$653
+$653INV $3.9K · WR 70.0%
F
fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa🥉
Entry 42¢·8,281.7 shares
Invested
$3.5K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$3167
+$3167INV $3.5K · WR 57.0%
T
theta-thunberghedged
Entry 147¢·2,267.3 shares·also $2.0K on YES
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-1502
$-1502INV $3.3K · WR 56.4%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 40¢·5,100 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$2065
+$2065INV $2.0K · WR 63.2%
G
gambler925
Entry 78¢·2,062.5 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $1.6K · WR 56.1%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 48¢·3,222.8 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$1048
+$1048INV $1.5K · WR 57.1%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 82¢·1,798.8 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $1.5K · WR 56.0%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 31¢·2,907.2 shares
Invested
$910
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$1430
+$1430INV $910 · WR 56.5%
W
Watchful-Fundhedged
Entry 51¢·1,122.7 shares·also $77 on YES
Invested
$576
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$323
+$323INV $576 · WR 62.4%
Showing top 10 of 55
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 677ms