troim · Polymarket wallet 0x4a2b…af20

Wallet snapshot

troim has made 34,340 trades on Polymarket across 1,329 markets, $5.0M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (34%) and politics (16%). On 1,199 resolved markets the win rate is 38.9%, lifetime P&L +$103K. It holds 98 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?". Last trade: Nov 14, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes · $11K · 55¢ → 77¢
• Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $6,550 · 66¢ → 66¢
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?No · $5,005 · 51¢ → 72¢
• Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?No · $4,928 · 25¢ → 99¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $4,791 · 72¢ → 80¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No · $4,650 · 56¢ → 93¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?Yes · $4,470 · 71¢ → 75¢
• Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?No · $3,620 · 86¢ → 91¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes · $3,500 · 48¢ → 88¢
• Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No · $2,768 · 63¢ → 55¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?Yes · +$280 · Nov 14, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$3,096 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Yes · +$5,330 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?No · +$3,963 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes · +$310 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes · +$480 · Nov 12, 2026

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