446 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$117.7K
2,149 trades
Smart Whales
75
of 303 traders · 1 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS · $1.48M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs56 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+4 new YES$2+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$25 of $359 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $193·NO $141YES Team
Total Invested
$3.6K
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.8K(-76.2%)
Whales
20
D
DancewithRisk🥇hedged
Entry 83¢·3,596.8 shares·also $765 on NO
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-2869
$-2869INV $3.0K · WR 66.1%
D
DerDon◆Proven🥈
Entry 1¢·3,451.3 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $48 · WR 56.5%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥉
Entry 2¢·2,209.5 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $39 · WR 63.4%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven
Entry 2¢·1,245.4 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $29 · WR 66.6%
T
Tee1000
Entry 9¢·276.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $25 · WR 81.8%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 10¢·214 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $21 · WR 59.4%
N
Nostdam
Entry 3¢·683.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $18 · WR 57.7%
G
GingerMcKennahedged
Entry 10¢·130.6 shares·also $113 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $13 · WR 84.9%
M
melchior1248hedged
Entry 2¢·397.5 shares·also $494 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 69.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 1¢·868 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $8 · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$17.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$15.5K(+87.3%)
Whales
56
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 40¢·10,825.8 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$6122
+$6122INV $4.4K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·7,800.3 shares
Invested
$3.9K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3624
+$3624INV $3.9K · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 57¢·1,666 shares
Invested
$943
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$670
+$670INV $943 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·1,618 shares
Invested
$809
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$758
+$758INV $809 · WR 86.0%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 55¢·1,436.7 shares
Invested
$788
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$604
+$604INV $788 · WR 83.8%
D
DancewithRiskhedged
Entry 116¢·659.6 shares·also $3.0K on YES
Invested
$765
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $765 · WR 66.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 59¢·1,063.5 shares
Invested
$625
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$405
+$405INV $625 · WR 89.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 54¢·1,130.6 shares
Invested
$615
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$480
+$480INV $615 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 88¢·562.2 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $495 · WR 88.2%
M
melchior1248hedged
Entry 98¢·506.5 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$494
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $494 · WR 69.2%
Showing top 10 of 56
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