Tech/AI76 days left
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
61¢
61% implied
Volume
$66.1K
2,056 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 242 traders
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
25 MARKETS · $631.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←
39¢+14¢$66.1K10/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←+14¢39¢
$66.1K10/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
16¢+36¢$41.0K13/12by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+36¢16¢
$41.0K13/12
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
14¢+28¢$8.6K5/7by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+28¢14¢
$8.6K5/7
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
7¢+31¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+31¢7¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
78¢−49¢$35.9K4/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−49¢78¢
$35.9K4/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−6¢$34.4K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−6¢39¢
$34.4K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.7K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.7K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+30¢$12.9K4/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+30¢10¢
$12.9K4/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
10¢+33¢$5.3K3/4by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+33¢10¢
$5.3K3/4
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
61¢−4¢$60.3K13/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−4¢61¢
$60.3K13/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
42¢+11¢$37.7K10/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+11¢42¢
$37.7K10/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
25¢+22¢$36.9K9/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+22¢25¢
$36.9K9/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
14¢+29¢$20.5K6/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+29¢14¢
$20.5K6/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
3¢+40¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+40¢3¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
17¢+35¢$53.2K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+35¢17¢
$53.2K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
8¢+36¢$20.6K8/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+36¢8¢
$20.6K8/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+56¢$11.2K6/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+56¢4¢
$11.2K6/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+16¢$2.3K1/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+16¢4¢
$2.3K1/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
77¢−20¢$40.7K13/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−20¢77¢
$40.7K13/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
34¢+16¢$55.5K10/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+16¢34¢
$55.5K10/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
11¢+12¢$22.8K3/10by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+12¢11¢
$22.8K3/10
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
9¢+5¢$6.5K1/6by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+5¢9¢
$6.5K1/6
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
20¢+21¢$22.0K9/13by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+21¢20¢
$22.0K9/13
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs9 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.9K is directional: YES $424·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$214(-13.6%)
Whales
10
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 55¢·1,204.5 shares
Invested
$659
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-195
$-195INV $659 · WR 72.1%
I
iutwpfal🥈hedged
Entry 29¢·1,108.2 shares·also $774 on NO
Invested
$321
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $321 · WR 73.8%
C
Computerdude111🥉
Entry 49¢·572.3 shares
Invested
$283
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $283 · WR 79.3%
I
ilovehistamines
Entry 39¢·300 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $117 · WR 63.6%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 53¢·165 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$88
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $88 · WR 56.7%
S
SteviaDaddy
Entry 76¢·60 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $45 · WR 56.7%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 47¢·50 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $24 · WR 62.7%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 58¢·36.4 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $21 · WR 68.6%
F
FlightRadarhedged
Entry 34¢·35.6 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 63.4%
S
Simple-Volume
Entry 67¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 69.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$664(+28.2%)
Whales
9
V
vinii🥇
Entry 49¢·1,594.4 shares
Invested
$781
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$208
+$208INV $781 · WR 65.8%
I
iutwpfal🥈hedged
Entry 45¢·1,733.8 shares·also $321 on YES
Invested
$774
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$292
+$292INV $774 · WR 73.8%
O
Olcan🥉
Entry 54¢·1,013.6 shares
Invested
$547
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $547 · WR 76.8%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 55¢·275.9 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $152 · WR 63.5%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 40¢·165 shares·also $88 on YES
Invested
$66
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $66 · WR 56.7%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 55¢·36.4 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 68.6%
1
101456
Entry 48¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 55.2%
F
FlightRadarhedged
Entry 16¢·35.6 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $6 · WR 63.4%
B
BAO95889
Entry 40¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.7%
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