Simple-Volume · Polymarket wallet 0x799b…1613

Wallet snapshot

Simple-Volume has made 298 trades on Polymarket across 132 markets, $1,036 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (22%) and tech (22%). On 97 resolved markets the win rate is 69.1%, lifetime P&L +$9. It holds 34 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Yes · $16 · 87¢ → 95¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes · $15 · 81¢ → 80¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes · $11 · 86¢ → 91¢
• Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes · $10 · 88¢ → 93¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No · $10 · 89¢ → 93¢
• Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?Yes · $10 · 85¢ → 88¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $10 · 85¢ → 87¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $10 · 86¢ → 88¢
• Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No · $10 · 76¢ → 76¢
• Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No · $10 · 89¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No · +$1 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?Yes · +$1 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes · +$1 · Oct 14, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

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