Politics13 days left
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$102.8K
1,468 trades
Smart Whales
75
of 250 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $546.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs58 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 23 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$3.5K+58 new NO$16.3K
$610 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.9K is directional: YES $2.9K·NO $9.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$87(-2.3%)
Whales
17
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 13¢·16,106.5 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$286
+$286INV $2.1K · WR 77.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥈hedged
Entry 83¢·698.4 shares·also $62 on NO
Invested
$583
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-481
$-481INV $583 · WR 55.3%
S
sdhyky🥉
Entry 13¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $385 · WR 59.4%
G
G.laila
Entry 14¢·1,120 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $158 · WR 69.5%
Q
QMG-CORE
Entry 11¢·500 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $56 · WR 81.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 11¢·441.8 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $49 · WR 87.7%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3
Entry 16¢·300 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $48 · WR 57.9%
6
65765757
Entry 13¢·328.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $44 · WR 78.2%
L
lpgb
Entry 11¢·390.7 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $43 · WR 75.7%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 11¢·68 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$28.8K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.6K(+26.4%)
Whales
58
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 60¢·13,149.2 shares
Invested
$7.9K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$3368
+$3368INV $7.9K · WR 72.2%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 62¢·9,183.5 shares
Invested
$5.7K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$2144
+$2144INV $5.7K · WR 69.2%
R
Ryxon21◆Proven🥉
Entry 85¢·4,999.7 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $4.3K · WR 71.3%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 61¢·2,441.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$598
+$598INV $1.5K · WR 79.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 48¢·2,580.6 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$961
+$961INV $1.2K · WR 85.8%
G
GabiFP◆Proven
Entry 85¢·1,202.5 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1.0K · WR 80.4%
S
Serpentine-Majority◆Proven
Entry 86¢·1,164.9 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $1.0K · WR 79.1%
V
vinii
Entry 81¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$805
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $805 · WR 65.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 90¢·745.7 shares
Invested
$673
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $673 · WR 85.9%
H
henribloc◆Proven
Entry 86¢·699.1 shares
Invested
$603
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $603 · WR 76.0%
Showing top 10 of 58
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