Tech/AI80 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$35.7K
1,176 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 199 traders
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $738.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.9K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.9K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
43¢+12¢$64.7K12/10by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+12¢43¢
$64.7K12/10
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+34¢$40.8K13/12by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+34¢18¢
$40.8K13/12
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
14¢+28¢$8.6K5/7by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+28¢14¢
$8.6K5/7
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
7¢+31¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+31¢7¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
77¢−36¢$34.3K7/10by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−36¢77¢
$34.3K7/10
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
40¢−13¢$33.9K3/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−13¢40¢
$33.9K3/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
12¢+24¢$12.8K4/7by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+24¢12¢
$12.8K4/7
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
5¢+24¢$4.9K2/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+24¢5¢
$4.9K2/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
60¢−6¢$59.7K14/12by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−6¢60¢
$59.7K14/12
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
48¢−4¢$37.2K8/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−4¢48¢
$37.2K8/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
25¢+25¢$36.6K10/10by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+25¢25¢
$36.6K10/10
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
15¢+23¢$20.3K5/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢15¢
$20.3K5/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
3¢+40¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+40¢3¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
37¢+16¢$51.9K10/9by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+16¢37¢
$51.9K10/9
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
21¢+18¢$19.6K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+18¢21¢
$19.6K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
3¢+30¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢3¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
78¢−19¢$39.6K13/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−19¢78¢
$39.6K13/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
40¢+13¢$54.9K10/9by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+13¢40¢
$54.9K10/9
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
16¢+11¢$21.3K4/11by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+11¢16¢
$21.3K4/11
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
7¢+13¢$6.0K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+13¢7¢
$6.0K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←
94¢−36¢$35.7K15/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←−36¢94¢
$35.7K15/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
65¢−5¢$48.6K9/6by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−5¢65¢
$48.6K9/6
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
34¢+11¢$19.6K9/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢34¢
$19.6K9/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs11 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+3 new NO$3
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $2.2K·NO $54YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
74.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$885(+35.6%)
Whales
15
2
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4🥇
Entry 92¢·1,408.4 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $1.3K · WR 85.6%
M
Milksheen🥈
Entry 87¢·580.2 shares
Invested
$504
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $504 · WR 57.5%
C
conherence🥉
Entry 56¢·557.7 shares
Invested
$315
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$222
+$222INV $315 · WR 58.8%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 25¢·642.8 shares·also $606 on NO
Invested
$164
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$443
+$443INV $164 · WR 77.5%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 65¢·100 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $65 · WR 69.8%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 66¢·63.6 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$42
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $42 · WR 74.1%
W
wish-hedged
Entry 41¢·72.1 shares·also $199 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $30 · WR 84.0%
E
EbonSovereign
Entry 67¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $27 · WR 56.4%
B
BIG-GAINS
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 65.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 80¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-91.2%)
Whales
11
L
lamyk🥇
Entry 66¢·1,306.5 shares
Invested
$862
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-789
$-789INV $862 · WR 56.8%
C
Computerdude111🥈hedged
Entry 92¢·656.7 shares·also $164 on YES
Invested
$606
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-570
$-570INV $606 · WR 77.5%
W
wish-🥉hedged
Entry 123¢·161.9 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$199
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-190
$-190INV $199 · WR 84.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 92¢·66.2 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $61 · WR 57.7%
O
Olcan
Entry 8¢·336.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $25 · WR 76.8%
V
vinii
Entry 26¢·96.8 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $25 · WR 65.8%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 38¢·38.6 shares·also $42 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $15 · WR 74.1%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 93¢·8.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 68.4%
D
dedidanc◆Proven
Entry 3¢·81.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 62.1%
B
BAO95889
Entry 2¢·104.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $2 · WR 57.2%
Showing top 10 of 11
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