Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
YES Price
69¢
69% implied
NO Price
31¢
31% implied
Volume
$47.3K
2,048 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 159 traders
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $712.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
38¢−18¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−18¢38¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
83¢−23¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−23¢83¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢0¢$20.0K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher0¢25¢
$20.0K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs5 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 80%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$184+8 new NO$88
$111 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.1K is directional: YES $722·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$973
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$307(+31.5%)
Whales
9
M
Milksheen🥇
Entry 40¢·745.1 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$235
+$235INV $302 · WR 57.5%
I
iutwpfal🥈
Entry 74¢·319.9 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $238 · WR 74.1%
C
Computerdude111🥉
Entry 64¢·349.1 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $223 · WR 77.5%
B
BAO95889
Entry 63¢·114.4 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $73 · WR 57.0%
C
conherence
Entry 43¢·135.4 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $59 · WR 58.8%
K
kickoffu
Entry 50¢·90 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $45 · WR 62.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 51¢·38 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $19 · WR 72.2%
M
Majashedged
Entry 1199¢·1.1 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 68.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 73¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$497(-36.3%)
Whales
5
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 43¢·3,058.4 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-470
$-470INV $1.3K · WR 76.8%
S
sludgelife🥈
Entry 48¢·48 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $23 · WR 63.8%
M
Majas🥉hedged
Entry 1604¢·1.1 shares·also $13 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 68.1%
B
brightKong
Entry 64¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 58.3%
1
101456
Entry 3¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 55.7%
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