Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$63.2K
1,979 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 229 traders
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
38¢−18¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−18¢38¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
83¢−23¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−23¢83¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs11 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$144+2 new NO$261
$54 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.2K is directional: YES $585·NO $1.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-0.5%)
Whales
13
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 55¢·1,204.5 shares
Invested
$659
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $659 · WR 72.2%
C
Computerdude111🥈
Entry 49¢·787.7 shares
Invested
$389
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $389 · WR 77.5%
I
iutwpfal🥉hedged
Entry 29¢·1,108.2 shares·also $774 on NO
Invested
$321
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$184
+$184INV $321 · WR 74.1%
M
Milksheen
Entry 47¢·362.4 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $171 · WR 57.5%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 53¢·165 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$88
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $88 · WR 55.9%
S
SteviaDaddy
Entry 76¢·60 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $45 · WR 57.3%
A
Aggggaa12hedged
Entry 51¢·58 shares·also $30 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $29 · WR 68.9%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 47¢·50 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 62.3%
C
CryptoBilochka
Entry 63¢·35 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $22 · WR 59.1%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 58¢·36.4 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $21 · WR 68.8%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$345(+12.3%)
Whales
11
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 52¢·1,521.6 shares
Invested
$790
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $790 · WR 76.8%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 49¢·1,594.4 shares
Invested
$781
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $781 · WR 65.8%
I
iutwpfal🥉hedged
Entry 45¢·1,733.8 shares·also $321 on YES
Invested
$774
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$171
+$171INV $774 · WR 74.1%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 52¢·551.7 shares
Invested
$287
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $287 · WR 63.6%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 40¢·165 shares·also $88 on YES
Invested
$66
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $66 · WR 55.9%
S
seewhatidohedged
Entry 65¢·72.5 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$47
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $47 · WR 58.8%
A
Aggggaa12hedged
Entry 51¢·59 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$30
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 68.9%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 55¢·36.4 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 68.8%
1
101456
Entry 48¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $10 · WR 55.7%
F
FlightRadarhedged
Entry 16¢·35.6 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $6 · WR 63.4%
Showing top 10 of 11
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