Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$35.1K
1,154 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 193 traders
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $712.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
38¢−18¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−18¢38¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
83¢−23¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−23¢83¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢0¢$20.0K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher0¢25¢
$20.0K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs11 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $2.2K·NO $30YES Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+55.6%)
Whales
16
2
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4🥇
Entry 92¢·1,408.4 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $1.3K · WR 85.5%
O
Olcan🥈hedged
Entry 40¢·1,424.1 shares·also $2.1K on NO
Invested
$573
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$798
+$798INV $573 · WR 76.8%
M
Milksheen🥉
Entry 87¢·580.2 shares
Invested
$504
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $504 · WR 57.5%
C
conherence
Entry 56¢·557.7 shares
Invested
$315
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$222
+$222INV $315 · WR 58.8%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 25¢·642.8 shares·also $606 on NO
Invested
$164
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$455
+$455INV $164 · WR 77.5%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 65¢·100 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $65 · WR 69.9%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 66¢·63.6 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$42
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $42 · WR 74.1%
W
wish-hedged
Entry 41¢·72.1 shares·also $199 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $30 · WR 84.0%
E
EbonSovereign
Entry 67¢·40 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $27 · WR 56.4%
B
BIG-GAINS
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 65.1%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
72.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.7K(-95.5%)
Whales
11
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 103¢·2,069.6 shares·also $573 on YES
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-2051
$-2051INV $2.1K · WR 76.8%
L
lamyk🥈
Entry 66¢·1,306.5 shares
Invested
$862
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-813
$-813INV $862 · WR 56.8%
C
Computerdude111🥉hedged
Entry 92¢·656.7 shares·also $164 on YES
Invested
$606
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-582
$-582INV $606 · WR 77.5%
W
wish-hedged
Entry 123¢·161.9 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$199
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-193
$-193INV $199 · WR 84.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 92¢·66.2 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $61 · WR 57.7%
V
vinii
Entry 27¢·96.8 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $26 · WR 65.8%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 38¢·38.6 shares·also $42 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $15 · WR 74.1%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 93¢·8.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 68.8%
D
dedidanc
Entry 3¢·81.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 61.3%
B
BAO95889
Entry 2¢·104.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 57.0%
Showing top 10 of 11
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