Tech/AI128 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YES Price
78¢
78% implied
NO Price
22¢
22% implied
Volume
$20.2K
568 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 130 traders
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
29 MARKETS · $257.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
85¢−8¢$16.3K10/3by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−8¢85¢
$16.3K10/3
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
62¢−12¢$31.2K6/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher−12¢62¢
$31.2K6/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
20¢+38¢$18.7K7/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+38¢20¢
$18.7K7/5
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
10¢+65¢$2.9K3/1by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+65¢10¢
$2.9K3/1
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
5¢+28¢$1.0K2/4by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+28¢5¢
$1.0K2/4
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
81¢−61¢$5.2K1/4by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−61¢81¢
$5.2K1/4
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
51¢−11¢$9.9K2/3by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−11¢51¢
$9.9K2/3
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
40¢+35¢$2.9K3/1by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+35¢40¢
$2.9K3/1
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
21¢+22¢$6.1K3/4by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+22¢21¢
$6.1K3/4
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢−6¢$4540/1by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher−6¢6¢
$4540/1
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
80¢−15¢$20.2K11/6by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−15¢80¢
$20.2K11/6
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
56¢+11¢$5.2K4/2by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher+11¢56¢
$5.2K4/2
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
36¢+14¢$8.9K5/5by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+14¢36¢
$8.9K5/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
23¢+27¢$9.4K3/3by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+27¢23¢
$9.4K3/3
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
6¢+19¢$1.7K1/3by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+19¢6¢
$1.7K1/3
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
47¢+3¢$15.9K5/5by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+3¢47¢
$15.9K5/5
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
27¢+53¢$2.2K4/1by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+53¢27¢
$2.2K4/1
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
14¢+29¢$3.6K3/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+29¢14¢
$3.6K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+42¢$1.6K1/1by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+42¢8¢
$1.6K1/1
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
81¢−3¢$9.0K7/2by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−3¢81¢
$9.0K7/2
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
56¢+2¢$18.3K7/5by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+2¢56¢
$18.3K7/5
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
36¢+28¢$15.6K7/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+28¢36¢
$15.6K7/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
9¢+24¢$2.9K1/2by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+24¢9¢
$2.9K1/2
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
6¢+44¢$2.1K3/3by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+44¢6¢
$2.1K3/3
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←
78¢+2¢$20.2K12/3by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←+2¢78¢
$20.2K12/3
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
49¢+8¢$7.3K4/3by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+8¢49¢
$7.3K4/3
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
26¢+18¢$9.5K4/5by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+18¢26¢
$9.5K4/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs3 NO
80%20%
80% of smart money is betting YES on this market
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 91%
+15 new YES$2.0K+11 new NO$198
4 smart whales2 smart whales
YES Team76 traders
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+0.5%)
Whales
12
C
Computerdude111🥇
Entry 77¢·495.3 shares
Invested
$380
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $380 · WR 75.5%
C
conherence🥈
Entry 56¢·557.7 shares
Invested
$315
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $315 · WR 61.5%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥉
Entry 93¢·300 shares
Invested
$278
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $278 · WR 73.8%
M
meowtai
Entry 89¢·250 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $224 · WR 83.4%
O
Olcan
Entry 75¢·287.7 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $215 · WR 77.1%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 65¢·100 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $65 · WR 74.1%
2
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4
Entry 76¢·80 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $60 · WR 85.9%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 66¢·63.6 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $42 · WR 74.7%
P
PPMT
Entry 80¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $24 · WR 55.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 67¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 71.6%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team76 traders
Total Invested
$41
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$11(-27.9%)
Whales
3
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