Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
YES Price
84¢
84% implied
NO Price
16¢
16% implied
Volume
$37.9K
1,136 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 208 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs9 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 30% of the money is not a bet
$292 of $973 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $105·NO $576YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
64.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+116.9%)
Whales
13
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 43¢·1,134 shares·also $178 on NO
Invested
$493
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$454
+$454INV $493 · WR 65.8%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 30¢·1,283.7 shares·also $1.1K on NO
Invested
$386
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$686
+$686INV $386 · WR 57.0%
C
Computerdude111🥉hedged
Entry 30¢·722.7 shares·also $626 on NO
Invested
$218
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$386
+$386INV $218 · WR 77.5%
S
SteviaDaddyhedged
Entry 80¢·198 shares·also $146 on NO
Invested
$158
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $158 · WR 57.3%
W
wpovniweijfowjp
Entry 88¢·70 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $61 · WR 64.3%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 21¢·106 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $22 · WR 70.2%
N
NeevS
Entry 87¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 88.6%
A
0xa5cb092f...hedged
Entry 65¢·18.6 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $12 · WR 64.1%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 43¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $12 · WR 70.5%
O
Outlying-Hutch
Entry 46¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-65.8%)
Whales
9
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·1,252.7 shares·also $386 on YES
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-911
$-911INV $1.1K · WR 57.0%
C
Computerdude111🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·687.7 shares·also $218 on YES
Invested
$626
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-512
$-512INV $626 · WR 77.5%
O
Olcan🥉
Entry 21¢·1,728.5 shares
Invested
$360
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $360 · WR 76.8%
V
viniihedged
Entry 61¢·294.3 shares·also $493 on YES
Invested
$178
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-130
$-130INV $178 · WR 65.8%
J
Jet9
Entry 39¢·400 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $154 · WR 67.4%
S
SteviaDaddyhedged
Entry 20¢·723.8 shares·also $158 on YES
Invested
$146
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $146 · WR 57.3%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 21¢·303.8 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $62 · WR 74.1%
A
0xa5cb092f...hedged
Entry 59¢·22.1 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $13 · WR 64.1%
S
Sad-Jumpsuithedged
Entry 93¢·1.3 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 67.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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