Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$20.4K
797 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 147 traders
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher←
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher←+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs14 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$75+3 new NO$284
$38 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $5·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$733
Avg Win Rate
57.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$585(-79.8%)
Whales
4
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·782.7 shares·also $169 on NO
Invested
$700
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-563
$-563INV $700 · WR 57.0%
B
big-bird1🥈hedged
Entry 80¢·21.3 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $17 · WR 68.8%
X
xSundancer🥉hedged
Entry 68¢·16.1 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $11 · WR 58.0%
A
Alfabaguera
Entry 24¢·19 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 60.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$765(+38.2%)
Whales
14
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 69¢·970.7 shares
Invested
$670
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $670 · WR 76.8%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 62¢·692.2 shares
Invested
$432
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $432 · WR 65.8%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 56¢·472.6 shares
Invested
$265
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $265 · WR 63.6%
C
conherence
Entry 61¢·343.6 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $211 · WR 58.8%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 28¢·603.1 shares·also $700 on YES
Invested
$169
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$329
+$329INV $169 · WR 57.0%
Z
zk1984
Entry 90¢·100 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $90 · WR 72.4%
C
Computerdude111
Entry 40¢·204.6 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $83 · WR 77.5%
S
seewhatido
Entry 77¢·60 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $46 · WR 58.8%
W
WeFoundLove
Entry 42¢·50 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $21 · WR 67.2%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 26¢·21.3 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $5 · WR 68.8%
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