Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$19.9K
819 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 125 traders
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs9 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$102+8 new NO$344
$44 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.6K is directional: YES $13·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$156
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$91(-58.5%)
Whales
6
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 144¢·91.2 shares·also $88 on NO
Invested
$131
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $131 · WR 65.8%
P
Petty-Stacking🥈
Entry 14¢·85.7 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $12 · WR 55.0%
G
garbagecollect4🥉hedged
Entry 87¢·6 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 69.0%
S
seewhatidohedged
Entry 21¢·17.7 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 58.8%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 3¢·76.2 shares·also $56 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $2 · WR 77.5%
D
Demanding-Breakthrough
Entry 12¢·8.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 56.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$22(-1.3%)
Whales
9
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 78¢·1,135.4 shares
Invested
$889
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $889 · WR 76.8%
I
iutwpfal🥈
Entry 82¢·666.5 shares
Invested
$547
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $547 · WR 74.1%
V
vinii🥉hedged
Entry 93¢·94.9 shares·also $131 on YES
Invested
$88
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $88 · WR 65.8%
B
BAO95889
Entry 81¢·85 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $69 · WR 57.0%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 74¢·76.2 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$56
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $56 · WR 77.5%
H
hithitfar
Entry 74¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $35 · WR 59.6%
S
seewhatidohedged
Entry 84¢·8.8 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 58.8%
B
big-bird1
Entry 82¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 68.8%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 22¢·6 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 69.0%
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