Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$19.1K
701 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 131 traders
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher←+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs11 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$34+2 new NO$71
$68 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $604 is directional: YES $98·NO $506YES Team
Total Invested
$735
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$294(-39.9%)
Whales
9
1
123f18🥇hedged
Entry 71¢·523.8 shares·also $236 on NO
Invested
$373
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
$-192
$-192INV $373 · WR 90.9%
L
lamyk🥈hedged
Entry 71¢·137.8 shares·also $40 on NO
Invested
$99
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $99 · WR 56.8%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 175¢·55.7 shares·also $101 on NO
Invested
$98
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $98 · WR 57.0%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 19¢·370.4 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $70 · WR 74.1%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 76¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $30 · WR 70.2%
S
southparker
Entry 28¢·100 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $28 · WR 67.6%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 152¢·13.7 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $21 · WR 77.5%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 77¢·17.5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $14 · WR 68.8%
3
0x34a9e26a...
Entry 23¢·14.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 65.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$946
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$330(+34.9%)
Whales
11
O
Olcan🥇
Entry 69¢·628.7 shares
Invested
$434
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $434 · WR 76.8%
1
123f18🥈hedged
Entry 33¢·708.8 shares·also $373 on YES
Invested
$236
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$229
+$229INV $236 · WR 90.9%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 28¢·357.1 shares·also $98 on YES
Invested
$101
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $101 · WR 57.0%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 428¢·13.7 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$59
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $59 · WR 77.5%
L
lamykhedged
Entry 35¢·114 shares·also $99 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $40 · WR 56.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 44¢·45.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $20 · WR 72.2%
T
toomanyfent
Entry 79¢·24 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $19 · WR 58.7%
S
sludgelife
Entry 80¢·17.5 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $14 · WR 63.8%
2
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4
Entry 70¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 85.5%
S
SamsClub-VIP
Entry 78¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 62.2%
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