Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$36.3K
1,302 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 176 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs9 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 61%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$39+3 new NO$56
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $382 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $380YES Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
71.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.1K(-73.8%)
Whales
12
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·3,359.9 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-2199
$-2199INV $3.0K · WR 76.8%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 108¢·862.5 shares·also $491 on NO
Invested
$931
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-724
$-724INV $931 · WR 57.0%
N
NoTeacher🥉hedged
Entry 210¢·56.3 shares·also $98 on NO
Invested
$118
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $118 · WR 55.9%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 117¢·61.5 shares·also $49 on NO
Invested
$72
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $72 · WR 77.5%
V
viniihedged
Entry 122¢·21.7 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $26 · WR 65.8%
H
hitunfar
Entry 24¢·94.9 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $23 · WR 61.4%
S
seewhatido
Entry 21¢·78.5 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $17 · WR 58.8%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 95¢·14.7 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $14 · WR 68.8%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 65¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 69.0%
G
gajistan
Entry 9¢·34.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $3 · WR 71.0%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
69.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$977(+41.9%)
Whales
9
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 51¢·2,510.2 shares·also $3.0K on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$638
+$638INV $1.3K · WR 76.8%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 55¢·889.5 shares·also $931 on YES
Invested
$491
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$185
+$185INV $491 · WR 57.0%
D
dedidanc🥉
Entry 78¢·295 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $229 · WR 61.3%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 66¢·228 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $150 · WR 74.1%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 33¢·296.9 shares·also $118 on YES
Invested
$98
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $98 · WR 55.9%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 69¢·71.5 shares·also $72 on YES
Invested
$49
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $49 · WR 77.5%
V
viniihedged
Entry 169¢·21.7 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $37 · WR 65.8%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 30¢·14.7 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $4 · WR 68.8%
D
Demanding-Breakthroughhedged
Entry 70¢·1.4 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.9%
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