83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$15.3K
686 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 113 traders
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher←+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs8 NO
53%47%
53% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.0K is directional: YES $14·NO $1.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.4K(-86.9%)
Whales
9
O
Olcan🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·1,007.7 shares·also $660 on NO
Invested
$865
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-754
$-754INV $865 · WR 76.8%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·627.1 shares·also $382 on NO
Invested
$586
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-517
$-517INV $586 · WR 57.0%
K
kaixinwan🥉hedged
Entry 74¢·122.3 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $90 · WR 79.4%
H
hitunfar
Entry 38¢·52 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $20 · WR 61.4%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 31¢·40 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $12 · WR 74.1%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 81¢·14.6 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $12 · WR 68.8%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 84¢·11 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 69.0%
M
Majashedged
Entry 86¢·3.1 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 68.1%
H
hithitfar
Entry 7¢·26 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 59.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$828(+39.3%)
Whales
8
D
dedidanc🥇
Entry 84¢·1,003.4 shares
Invested
$843
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $843 · WR 61.3%
O
Olcan🥈hedged
Entry 54¢·1,225.5 shares·also $865 on YES
Invested
$660
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$431
+$431INV $660 · WR 76.8%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 57¢·673.8 shares·also $586 on YES
Invested
$382
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$218
+$218INV $382 · WR 57.0%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 69¢·250 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $173 · WR 69.2%
K
kaixinwanhedged
Entry 30¢·122.3 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$37
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $37 · WR 79.4%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 52¢·14.6 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $8 · WR 68.8%
M
Majashedged
Entry 126¢·3.1 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 68.1%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 29¢·5 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 69.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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