Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YES Price
52¢
52% implied
NO Price
48¢
48% implied
Volume
$33.8K
1,639 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 168 traders
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $712.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
38¢−18¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−18¢38¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher←0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
83¢−23¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−23¢83¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢0¢$20.0K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher0¢25¢
$20.0K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs11 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$405+13 new NO$590
$89 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $87·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$445
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$44(-9.8%)
Whales
10
N
NoTeacher🥇hedged
Entry 64¢·293.3 shares·also $138 on NO
Invested
$188
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $188 · WR 55.9%
C
Computerdude111🥈hedged
Entry 53¢·195 shares·also $126 on NO
Invested
$103
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $103 · WR 77.5%
W
Witty-Birch🥉
Entry 53¢·148 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $78 · WR 64.6%
S
seewhatidohedged
Entry 39¢·108.7 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$42
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $42 · WR 58.8%
M
Majashedged
Entry 1876¢·0.9 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 68.1%
2
2sigma
Entry 45¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 73.5%
S
Simple-Volume
Entry 57¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 67.8%
D
Demanding-Breakthrough
Entry 48¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 56.9%
N
nonc
Entry 60¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 65.8%
A
0xa5cb092f...
Entry 34¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 64.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$155(-10.6%)
Whales
11
D
dedidanc🥇
Entry 59¢·1,288.1 shares
Invested
$757
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-126
$-126INV $757 · WR 61.3%
O
Olcan🥈
Entry 48¢·348.5 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $166 · WR 76.8%
N
NoTeacher🥉hedged
Entry 47¢·293.3 shares·also $188 on YES
Invested
$138
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $138 · WR 55.9%
I
iutwpfal
Entry 54¢·240 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $130 · WR 74.1%
C
Computerdude111hedged
Entry 52¢·240 shares·also $103 on YES
Invested
$126
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $126 · WR 77.5%
B
BAO95889
Entry 48¢·166 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $80 · WR 57.0%
S
seewhatidohedged
Entry 72¢·48.7 shares·also $42 on YES
Invested
$35
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $35 · WR 58.8%
A
Antonio-1729
Entry 57¢·46 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $26 · WR 71.6%
B
big-bird1
Entry 50¢·5.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 68.8%
M
Majashedged
Entry 93¢·0.9 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.1%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 570ms