Tech/AI83 days left
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$10.6K
401 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 91 traders
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
28 MARKETS · $713.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−16¢$37.5K19/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−16¢84¢
$37.5K19/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
46¢+11¢$63.2K12/9by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢46¢
$63.2K12/9
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
25¢+27¢$40.2K14/13by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+27¢25¢
$40.2K14/13
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
15¢+30¢$8.5K5/6by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+30¢15¢
$8.5K5/6
by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher
8¢+30¢$2.5K3/5by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher+30¢8¢
$2.5K3/5
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
71¢−32¢$30.4K7/11by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−32¢71¢
$30.4K7/11
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
39¢−19¢$33.3K2/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−19¢39¢
$33.3K2/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
11¢+42¢$15.3K9/8by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+42¢11¢
$15.3K9/8
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
10¢+23¢$12.8K3/6by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+23¢10¢
$12.8K3/6
by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
13¢+25¢$4.8K3/5by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+25¢13¢
$4.8K3/5
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher
59¢−11¢$58.5K13/14by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher−11¢59¢
$58.5K13/14
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
52¢0¢$33.8K12/11by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher0¢52¢
$33.8K12/11
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
24¢+31¢$36.3K11/9by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+31¢24¢
$36.3K11/9
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
24¢+26¢$19.9K8/8by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+26¢24¢
$19.9K8/8
by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
2¢+41¢$3.0K3/4by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+41¢2¢
$3.0K3/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
34¢+18¢$50.6K11/10by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher+18¢34¢
$50.6K11/10
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
28¢+11¢$19.0K7/11by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+11¢28¢
$19.0K7/11
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
4¢+52¢$11.2K5/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+52¢4¢
$11.2K5/4
by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
4¢+29¢$2.3K2/4by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+29¢4¢
$2.3K2/4
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
84¢−24¢$37.9K12/8by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−24¢84¢
$37.9K12/8
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
47¢+9¢$49.4K9/7by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+9¢47¢
$49.4K9/7
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher
18¢+7¢$20.4K4/12by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher+7¢18¢
$20.4K4/12
by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher
8¢+12¢$5.9K1/4by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher+12¢8¢
$5.9K1/4
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher
96¢−37¢$35.1K16/11by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher−37¢96¢
$35.1K16/11
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher
69¢−13¢$47.3K9/7by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher−13¢69¢
$47.3K9/7
by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher
35¢+8¢$19.1K9/12by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher+8¢35¢
$19.1K9/12
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs6 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $610 is directional: YES $33·NO $577YES Team
Total Invested
$262
Avg Win Rate
58.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$206(-78.7%)
Whales
4
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 98¢·233.4 shares·also $33 on NO
Invested
$228
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-200
$-200INV $228 · WR 57.0%
C
Computerdude111🥈
Entry 15¢·127.3 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $19 · WR 77.5%
C
clarkcharm🥉
Entry 13¢·100 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 63.2%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 20¢·4 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$619
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$141(+22.8%)
Whales
6
Z
zk1984🥇
Entry 87¢·400 shares
Invested
$346
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $346 · WR 72.4%
O
Olcan🥈
Entry 86¢·231.4 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $199 · WR 76.8%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·132.9 shares·also $228 on YES
Invested
$33
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $33 · WR 57.0%
M
Majas
Entry 91¢·35.9 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $33 · WR 68.1%
M
MadKarenTrades
Entry 9¢·60 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $5 · WR 56.2%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 91¢·4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 68.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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